The Bond Strategist

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"All this takes us to a rather disturbing bi modal endgame, the bursting of the proverbial Big Bubble that brings the whole house of cards down or the inflation of yet another bubble to buy more time"- Stephen Roach

 

 

 

 

 

 

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7/2/2009

7/1/2009

6/2/2009

4/2/2009

7/2/2008

Now

1day

1mo

3mos

1yr

3 mo

0.17

0.17

0.14

0.22

1.82

1 yr

0.49

0.54

0.46

0.59

2.35

2 yr

0.98

1.05

0.96

0.88

2.60

3 yr

1.52

1.57

1.52

1.25

2.87

5 yr

2.43

2.51

2.52

1.74

3.31

7 yr

3.15

3.21

3.25

2.37

3.61

10 yr

3.51

3.55

3.65

2.77

3.99

15 yr

4.17

4.21

4.42

3.49

4.56

20 yr

4.28

4.32

4.51

3.63

4.57

25 yr

4.34

4.36

4.54

3.76

4.53

30 yr

4.31

4.33

4.51

3.67

4.55

 

 

 

 

Too much!  by Major Yield

 

Too much!

 

I was reminded that it was “some time” since my last writing. (The Editor)

More than the 100 days…………………in them, I have been speechless……

I can’t believe what I see and hear and read and watch and follow and experience.

Too much!

 

In my mind, I have written on hundreds of topics, many times every day.

There are none written on paper because of the rapidity of topics that come at us every day.

Too much!

 

Perhaps, you have your arms around all that is happening in the US, or the World?

I do not.

Too much!

 

Not only has the “definition of terms” changed, so has the basic meaning of words in finance.

The New Beltway Boys with their New Economics in a New Era of “Change” have already rewritten “take over”  “Economy” ownership, Free Enterprise etc .

Nothing looks the same. General Motors (GM) is now Government Motors (GM).

AIG is now, All Insured (by) Government.

Many Big Banks are Government owned. They just don’t know it.

The US Treasury Department has become one of the free markets biggest competitor’s.

There is not enough space on this page to express opinion about them all and they keep coming everyday.

Too much!

 

What’s happening today was predicted by Milton Friedman in his book Money Mischief.

From the deficits, money supply, Treasury buying the debt, to government officials’ actions and denial of inflation worries, right up to massive inflation. A must read.

 

That said, I can not intellectually make a forecast for “all” the credit market professional out there.

Where does the market go from here? What should we do?

You answer the Question(s) and send it in by e-mail and we will put it on the page for all to read. If words are EC – editor correct.

 

My Gut, says that the T Curve will have put most portfolios back in the “lost in asset value column” as interest rates rise…. Buy a 30-yr to at a 4-4.50 % recently and see 8 % sooner than you may think.

My gut says, (as Obama said to the Los Angeles folks, “You ain’t seen nothing yet!”)

My gut says you can eat an elephant, one bite at a time- and - It will be eaten.

The unbelievable government spending, the huge, huge deficits, the assaults on Wall Street folks, the assault on the leaders of important industries and their CEO’s, the assault on private enterprise, the destruction of home values, 401k’s, need I go on????

Will take many life times for the taxpayer to eat this elephant.

Just Too Much!!!!!

 

For Fixed Income Portfolio Management:

Credit – Governments - with a printing press.

Maturity: short

Yield: Not too much!

Pain: Too much!

 

 

Major Yield Is a bond trader with almost 35-years of in-the-business experience.

 

He has been writing fixed-income/economic/interest rates – comments with daily updates, for close to 25-years. He has met some of the most interesting and successful “folks” writing for the Bondheads.com

 

The Major works with the professional, institutional investor, of most regulated industry sectors, that invest in the credit markets, using  investment grade products.

 

The Major believes that all opinions are possibly correct and yours, his and everyone, has the right to voice theirs.

 

Major Yield enjoys all comments from readers and may reply to them.

You may contact Major Yield at Major Yield

 

 

 

 

 

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