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Stock Timing China Article

Part

Date

Shanghai Index down

11

13- Feb.

China Stock Market Trouble

10

08-Jan.

China’s Bubble - Pipsqueak

9

07-Sep.

Shanghai-TheRealStory

8

30-May

ChinaWarning

7

17-May

China-tick-tick-tick

6

7-May

China-Imploding-Investors

5

27-Apr

shanghai-index

4

23-Apr

China-subscriberOnly

3

19-Apr

ChinaFeb20

2

20-Feb

China2

1

15-Feb

China1

Comments

7-Feb

 

 

 

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"All this takes us to a rather disturbing bi modal endgame, the bursting of the proverbial Big Bubble that brings the whole house of cards down or the inflation of yet another bubble to buy more time"- Stephen Roach

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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“An intellectual is a man who takes more words than necessary to tell more than he knows.”Dwight D. Eisenhower

 

 

 

 

 

3/12/2008

3/11/2008

2/11/2008

12/12/2007

3/13/2007

Now

1day

1mo

3mos

1yr

3 mo

1.48

1.48

2.31

2.88

5.09

1 yr

1.58

1.67

2.06

3.16

4.90

2 yr

1.63

1.74

1.93

3.07

4.52

3 yr

1.81

1.93

2.10

3.12

4.45

5 yr

2.49

2.61

2.67

3.41

4.41

7 yr

2.97

3.17

3.29

3.85

4.45

10 yr

3.49

3.60

3.62

4.05

4.50

15 yr

4.34

4.49

4.34

4.64

4.74

20 yr

4.35

4.48

4.38

4.55

4.75

25 yr

4.42

4.53

4.40

4.55

4.71

30 yr

4.39

4.50

4.41

4.57

4.72

 

 

 

 

 

 

Baby Boomers Beware!  by Major Yield

 

Remember the book “1984”?

Big Brother controlling and old people dealt with by government etc.

Well, in a way you are there. How you ask?

Do you have savings?

Equity in your home?

Live on a fixed income?

Inflation is killing these once good ideas on investments and cash flows - killing you.

**Understand, inflation is a good thing for corporate bad management and government bad management, (there’s lots of it) but just not good for you or the hard working taxpayers.

Small Business Owners Beware

Taxes will go up no matter who wins the election this fall. It’s an inside the beltway thing that common folks like you and me, do not understand. Only the elite can.

While on the road in Daytona Beach, Florida I met an owner of a souvenir store that put the future of government management in a few words. Our choices for president so far, are between a Communist, a Socialist and an Idiot. You pick who is who.

Everywhere I went, I heard stories. Taxes and the increased cost of living and working are hurting enough now;

*A painting and flooring contractor that can not make it any longer and will lay-off folks over the gasoline cost;

*An Italian couple who’s parents could not afford to visit the Untied States for many years are now buying a condo in the US, as a second home – the Euro’s increased value and the dollars demise;

*A guy who lost his last parent and the family estate, one to cancer and the other to taxes;

*While being told by a beach shop owner that the government will not let their store sell zinc oxide anymore because it’s a drug, is considering closing the business, as sales are bad and cost are going up on insurance etc. let alone taxes.

**Understand that Big, Decoupling, Global Firms don’t pay taxes, in fact many get very much government support – inside the beltways of the world and political campaigns.

Banks Beware

Hotels are busy, airlines are full, rental cars are everywhere, low end restaurants are busy, gas stations are pumping and Disney is writing great profits - and the cost of all these things are all going on credit cards. It feels like many are on their last spending spree. Will they walk away from a 25% interest rate, as they have their homes?? What ever happened to Usury Laws? Here again we see bad management. If people can’t pay their credit card debt; charge more interest and ask for larger minimum payments. How much real estate do banks own and will not re-negotiate with home-owners now that are in default, awaiting foreclosure?

Perhaps, Mr. Bernanke and the Feds will bail them out – again. At taxpayer expense.

**Understand, this would not be the first time for the inside the beltway folks.

Beware Governments.

Better hope that the unemployment rate does not get too high. No job – No pay taxes. No pay taxes – No government funds.

The Feds should ask City and County Government folks about – the lack of cash flow – the cost of borrowing – and the prayer for inflation to bail them out and the taxes revenues to increase.

**Understand that it’s not anything now, but employment – keep them working outside of the government payroll system.

Beware Investors

Low interest rates – low yields – credit worthiness questioned; and that of the US government debt at all levels of government. The good news in this sector, unlike corporate debt or equity is that you will be paid your interest and principal as the Feds own the printing press to make as much as is needed…… the problem…. No job – no pay taxes…..or create more debt and sell it to other countries….oh yea, we do that now. What do we do when that fails? **Understand, governments have defaulted and governments have failed; along with their currency and debts. Is AAA, really AAA??

 

 

 

 

 

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